Thursday, August 31, 2006

The Iranian Threat

That anyone in the west can deny what Iran is doing is unconscionable. One can say we ought to negotiate, one can say we ought try to appease the mullahs somehow, but no one can say that their aims are not to build a nuclear weapon and to use it on Israel at the first opportunity. From the New York Times:

The global nuclear monitoring agency deepened suspicions on Thursday about Iran's nuclear program, reporting that inspectors had discovered new traces of highly enriched uranium at an Iranian facility.

This finding alone ought to be sufficient to impose sanctions at the very least, if not engage in military action against Iranian nuclear facilities. Even if neither action is taken, Iranian intentions should be undeniable.

But undeniable facts do not lead to sensible action. Even though the deadline for Iran to halt uranium enrichment has passed, there is no guarantee the major powers will impose sanctions on Iran. Even though Iranian excuses for producing heavy water are increasingly absurd, they have been sufficient to confuse the debate over Iran in the U.S. Iran itself is defiant towards the threat, and probably would not be greatly harmed if sanctions were only imposed by the U.S. and a few allies.

AJ Strata believes strongly George Bush will never be allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapons, even if preventive action undermines Bush's project to build the Republicans into a long term governing party. I think a nuclear Iran is inevitable. The world now has a late-40s feel to it. Ahmadinejad is determined to have the bomb to project his ideological obsessions, just as Stalin was after he saw the destruction unleashed on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. And as we were towards the Soviets, we have become too weary and naive to resist Islamofascist Iran.

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